Climate Change in the American Mind: Beliefs & Attitudes, Spring 2023Yale Project on Climate Change Communication & George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication
Americans who think global warming is happening outnumber those who think it is not happening by a ratio of nearly 5 to 1. About half of Americans (48%) think people in the United States are being harmed by global warming “right now,” and nearly as many (44%) say they have personally experienced the effects of global warming.
Views of State of Moral Values in U.S. at New LowMegan Brenan, Gallup
Americans’ already poor ratings of the state of moral values in the U.S. have fallen further to the lowest point in Gallup’s 22-year trend. The 54% of U.S. adults who rate moral values in the country as “poor” marks a four-percentage-point increase since last year and the first time the reading has reached the majority level.
The Emerging Anti-MAGA MajorityMichael Podhorzer, Weekend Reading
Invariably, those prophesying doom unless new Trump-leaning voters are brought over rely on polling results that reflect the generalized disaffection of the moment with all politicians, rather than election results which consistently show that the voters in the key Purple states reject MAGA/Trump when the choice is clear.
Is Gen Z Coming for the GOP?Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic [via opiniontoday.com]
As many as 7 million to 9 million more members of the racially and culturally diverse Gen Z could cast ballots in 2024 than did in 2020, while the number of the predominantly white Baby Boomers and older generations voting may decline by a corresponding amount, according to nonpartisan forecasts. As a result, for the first time, Gen Z and Millennials combined could account for as many votes next year as the Baby Boomers and their elders—the groups that have made up a majority of voters for decades.
Five Reasons to be Skeptical of the Youth VoteRuy Teixeira, The Liberal Patriot
There’s no free (demographic) lunch. The boring, tedious, difficult task of persuasion is still the key to building electoral majorities.
GOP’s booming support for guns is turning off millennial, Gen Z RepublicansJuan Perez Jr., Politico
About a quarter of young Republicans in one poll said they strongly or somewhat supported an assault weapons ban.
Beating Biden Isn't A Priority For Republican Voters In The 2024 Primary (Yet)Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight
Four years ago, the Democratic presidential primary was dominated by a concept nobody could clearly define but everyone could tell you was important: “electability.” Today, Republicans find themselves in an analogous position to Democrats’ four years ago: facing an open nomination battle to take on an incumbent president they strongly dislike. But they aren’t necessarily repeating Democrats’ 2020 example.
Biggest Winners in Debt Ceiling Deal: Vulnerable House RepublicansAmy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
Just after the debt ceiling deal was announced, allies for Biden and McCarthy released ads claiming victory for their side. However, the real winners of a debt deal were vulnerable House Republicans who sit in blue or blue-leaning districts. It is going to be hard enough for many of these incumbents to outrun former President Trump, the likely GOP nominee, in 2024. They also can't afford to be burdened with a Republican-led Congress that is defined by chaos and calamity.
The Major Supreme Court Decisions in 2023Adam Liptak & Eli Murray, New York Times
According to a survey conducted in April by researchers at Harvard, Stanford and the University of Texas, the public is often — but hardly always — divided along partisan lines on how the court should rule in significant cases from the term that started in October and is expected to end in late June. Here is a look at those cases.
SCOTUS Strikes Down Alabama Maps That Limit Black Voter PowerThe NPR Politics Podcast
By a vote of 5-4, a coalition of liberal and conservative justices essentially upheld the court's 1986 decision requiring that in states where voting is racially polarized, the legislature must create the maximum number of majority-Black or near-majority-Black congressional districts, using traditional redistricting criteria. And House Republican hardliners are using procedural fights to disrupt the work of the chamber, lashing out after Speaker McCarthy's debt ceiling deal with the Biden administration.
The Case for Democrats to Stop Playing DefenseThe Run-Up, New York Times
This week, Representative Elissa Slotkin shares what happens when Democrats have a plan, and Megan Hunt, a Nebraska state senator, explains what happens when they don’t.
Chris Christie Kamikaze CampaignPolitical Gabfest, Slate
This week, Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz discuss the latest three Republicans battling for the presidential nomination; Oklahoma’s approval of a Catholic public-charter school; and Saudi sportswashing in golf and soccer.