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Opinion Today

June 17, 2022

Jun 17
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World Refugee Day 2022: New Ipsos survey shows greater compassion for forcibly displaced as war in Ukraine wears on
Ipsos
Majorities in the U.S. and globally support allowing more refugees fleeing war, violent conflict, natural disaster, or the effects of climate change into their country

Democracy’s Promise: International Views of America in the Biden Era
Mark Hannah, Zuri Linetsky, Caroline Gray & Lucas Robinson, Eurasia Group Foundation
As the Biden administration works to restore the credibility of the United States on the world stage, and faces multiple international crises, the Eurasia Group Foundation conducted its fourth international survey designed to investigate perceptions of the United States in nine politically and geographically diverse countries. 

Fox News Poll: Majority dislikes protests outside Supreme Court justices’ homes
Victoria Balara, Fox News
A majority of registered voters think it’s inappropriate to protest outside the homes of Supreme Court justices. As the country awaits the high court’s ruling on a case that could strike down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision, the poll finds, for the first time, more voters unhappy with the job the Supreme Court is doing: 39% approve vs. 48% disapprove.
Fox News Poll: Six in ten favor U.S. continuing to provide aid to Ukraine
Dana Blanton, Fox News
Voters want to keep helping Ukraine fight Russia, even as their sense of the war’s relevancy declines, according to a new Fox News survey. Voters are also not buying White House attempts to tie current gas prices to the war. By an 18-point margin, they say Biden’s policies are more responsible for prices at the pump than Russian President Putin’s actions in Ukraine (50-32%).

Fox News Poll: Record-high negative views of Biden
Victoria Balara, Fox News
Fifty-seven percent view Biden negatively, while 42% view him positively. ... Former President Trump is also underwater, with a 44% favorable rating compared to 55% unfavorable.
U.S. consumer sentiment falls to lowest point in 18 months
Ipsos
Purchasing confidence tumbles as Americans expect inflation to continue rising

Sick and struggling to pay, 100 million people in the U.S. live with medical debt
Noam Levey, NPR News
More than 100 million people in America are beset by a health care system that is systematically pushing patients into debt on a mass scale, an investigation by KHN and NPR shows.
By 52% to 34%, Americans approve of the House committee investigating the January 6 Capitol takeover
Kathy Frankovic, Linley Sanders & Taylor Orth, YouGov
Few Americans are watching the primetime coverage of the January 6 committee hearings — according to the latest Economist/YouGov poll — but most are aware of the news around the hearings.

Support for the January 6th Investigation Remains Strong
Navigator Research
Americans overwhelmingly support the House committee investigation into the January 6th insurrection. More than three in five are hearing “a lot” or “some” about the public hearings on January 6th. Top descriptors of Republicans in Congress who support the events of January 6th are “power hungry” and “appealing to their right-wing, extremist base to win elections.”

Americans Say Government Should Address Slavery Effects
Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup
As the U.S. marks the Juneteenth holiday commemorating the emancipation of U.S. slaves, a recent Gallup Center on Black Voices survey finds that most Americans believe Black people today have been affected by the history of slavery in the U.S. and that the federal government has a responsibility to address those effects.

Public's Understanding of Juneteenth Has Grown Since 2021
Justin McCarthy, Gallup
Americans are more familiar with the Juneteenth holiday today than they were a year ago, when President Joe Biden signed a bill making it a federal holiday. About six in 10 U.S. adults say they know "a lot" (17%) or "some" (42%) about the Juneteenth holiday -- the combined 59% is up from just 37% in May 2021.

Politics on Twitter: One-Third of Tweets From U.S. Adults Are Political
Pew Research Center
Roughly one-quarter of American adults use Twitter. And when they share their views on the site, quite often they are doing so about politics and political issues. A new Pew Research Center analysis of English-language tweets posted between May 1, 2020, and May 31, 2021, by a representative sample of U.S. adult Twitter users finds that fully one-third (33%) of those tweets are political in nature.

Digital News Report 2022
Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism
This year's report reveals new insights about digital news consumption based on a YouGov survey of over 93,000 online news consumers in 46 markets covering half of the world's population.

Michigan: Kelley leading GOP gubernatorial field after arrest
Arpan Lobo & Paul Egan, Detroit Free Press
Republican gubernatorial candidate Ryan Kelley’s recent arrest by the FBI for his suspected involvement in the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol appears to have boosted his name recognition and favorability among GOP voters in Michigan, new polling conducted in the days following his arrest indicates.

New York State: 76% Say New Law Requiring Permit to Get Semi-Automatic Weapons Will be Good for the State
Siena College Research Institute
By 76-14%, voters say a new law requiring a permit to get a semi-automatic rifle – including being at least 21, passing a background check and taking a safety course – will be good for New York. Governor Hochul has a 46-37% favorability rating, compared to 44-34% in April. Her job performance rating is 41-52%, up from 36-57% in April.

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Bidenworld: We won the Covid battle, lost the political war
Adam Cancryn, Politico
Despite a rise in new infections, deaths are down and young kids will soon get vaccines. But the nation has moved on to abortion, inflation and guns.

Parties Ask: Will Our Last Nominee Be Our Next Nominee?
Charlie Cook
Will our 2020 presidential nominee run again in 2024? That’s the question hanging over both of the major political parties right now.

To Regain the Support of “Culturally Traditional but Not Extremist” Working Class Voters Democrats Need to Understand the Compelling Political Narrative That Leads Them to Vote for the GOP
Andrew Levison, The Democratic Strategist 
It is important to recognize that working class voters who do not pay careful attention to politics do not make their political choices primarily based on examining specific issues and policies. They evaluate candidates based on their broader outlook and philosophy – a perspective that the candidates frequently present as a basic “story” or “narrative” about America.

Turnout Myths Are the Democrats' Drug of Choice
Ruy Teixeira, The Liberal Patriot
Anything To Avoid Having To Actually Persuade Voters

Poll after poll shows the GOP is out of step with public opinion
Brad Bannon (Bannon Communications Research), The Hill
Dark clouds hang over Democratic political prospects in the fall as consumers feel the bite of historic inflation, but the GOP may be worse off — facing down the challenges that are about to hit the fan.

Democrats’ Risky Bet: Aid G.O.P. Extremists in Spring, Hoping to Beat Them in Fall
Jonathan Weisman, New York Times
As Democratic leaders warn loudly of right-wing threats to democracy, their campaign arms are meddling in Republican primaries, betting they can help pick easier opponents in November.

Democrats are voting in GOP primaries. Did they sink Madison Cawthorn?
Christopher Cooper (Western Carolina U.) & Michael Bitzer (Catawba College), Monkey Cage
More Americans are trying ‘strategic crossover voting’ in this year’s primaries. Here’s when it works.

A Recession Would Hurt Democrats. Some Warn It’d Also Hurt Democracy.
Blake Hounshell, New York Times
By trying to tame inflation, some commentators say, the Federal Reserve could bring about a recession — just as an unrepentant Donald Trump appears to be eyeing another White House bid.

Three in 10 Americans fear snakes — and most who do fear them a great deal
Taylor Orth, YouGov
A recent YouGov poll asked Americans to tell us what they fear from a list of over 30 possibilities. The most common fear – one shared by nearly one in three U.S. adult citizens – is of snakes.
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