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May 16, 2024

May 16, 2024
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Trump narrowly ahead of Biden; Biden approval highest since January 2023 as more voters are bullish on economy
Dana Blanton, Fox News
The latest Fox News survey shows former President Trump narrowly ahead of President Biden in the race for the White House. But the contest has tightened as an uptick in economic optimism pushes approval of Biden up.
Ipsos 2024 U.S. National Election Survey
Ipsos
The first Ipsos 2024 independent national election survey finds that among registered voters, the race for president is tied between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Most election coverage and analysis of the polls focus on partisanship or demographic groups; however, a striking and under-covered story of this cycle emerges when analyzing results by media silos or “main media source.”
Biden vs. Trump: Who is leading the polls?
Jason Lange, Reuters
President Joe Biden and Republican challenger Donald Trump are tied in the race to win the November presidential election, as Trump fights criminal prosecution and Biden weathers criticism over his support for Israel's war against Hamas militants, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. Some 40% of registered voters in the eight-day poll, which closed on Tuesday, said they would vote for Biden, a Democrat, if the election were held today, with the same share picking former President Trump.

Tracking the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Cameron Easley & Eli Yokley, Morning Consult
Trump leads Biden by 1 percentage point in our latest tracking, 44% to 43%, matching last week’s data. Since the weekend after Super Tuesday, when Trump’s net buzz rating tied a record high for the 2024 cycle, voters increasingly say they’re hearing negative things about the former president. The latest survey found Trump’s net buzz rating 32 points underwater, compared with -19 points in a survey that finished fielding on March 11. By comparison, Biden’s net buzz rating this week is -6 points, just 3 points worse than his rating after Super Tuesday.

The Battle for Haley Voters
John Halpin, The Liberal Patriot
Will these Republican and independent Haley voters come home and support Trump this fall or will they switch to Biden, choose a third-party candidate, or decide not to vote? A recent large sample poll of 4038 registered voters, conducted by The Liberal Patriot and Blueprint with YouGov, allows us to examine these Haley voters in more detail.

17% of Voters Blame Biden for the End of Roe
Claire Cain Miller, Ruth Igielnik & Margot Sanger-Katz, New York Times
The mistaken belief, in a new poll, shows how even as abortion is mobilizing Democrats, confusion over the issue is also a challenge.

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