South Carolina debate watchers most impressed by Sanders and Biden
It was a debate that viewers said brought clarity, but in which most viewers said the candidates spent more time criticizing each other than making the case for themselves. And Democratic debate viewers said national front-runner Bernie Sanders impressed them the most of any candidate, followed closely by Joe Biden and then Elizabeth Warren.
The Public's Awareness Of and Concerns About Coronavirus
Kaiser Family Foundation
The February KFF Health Tracking Poll gauged the public’s knowledge of and concerns about the Coronavirus in addition to exploring public opinion on how the outbreak is being addressed by the U.S. government.
Americans' Vanishing Fear of Foreign Trade
Lydia Saad, Gallup
More Americans than Gallup has seen in a quarter century view foreign trade positively, with 79% calling it "an opportunity for economic growth through increased U.S. exports."
Can Bernie Sanders really beat Trump? His pollster makes the case.
Greg Sargent, Washington Post [via opiniontoday.com]
Now that Sen. Bernie Sanders has become the clear favorite for the Democratic nomination, the Vermont independent’s rivals — and many in the Democratic Party — are sounding loud, clanging alarms about his viability against President Trump. I asked Ben Tulchin, the pollster for the Sanders campaign, to respond to these worries.
Bernie Sanders looks electable in surveys — but it could be a mirage
David Broockman (UC Berkeley) & Joshua Kalla (Yale), Vox
New research suggests Sanders would drive swing voters to Trump — and need a youth turnout miracle to compensate.
Americans are drowning in a sea of polls
Michael Traugott (U. of Michigan)
While the public is exposed to more data, it is not learning a lot about who the candidates are and where they stand on policy.
Why The Establishment Can’t Bank On ‘Moderate’ Voters Consolidating Against Sanders
Matt Grossmann, (Michigan State U.), FiveThirtyEight
At this point in the Democratic primary, none of the moderate alternatives to Sen. Bernie Sanders has risen above the rest. It might seem like “moderate” voters could consolidate behind one alternative to thwart Sanders’s path to the nomination. That’s possible, but one thing it assumes is that voters understand politics in ideological terms.
Latino voters aren't apathetic, Sanders' Nevada win shows. Stop blaming them for low turnout.
Tehama Lopez-Bunyasi (George Mason) & Stephen Nuño-Pérez (Northern Arizona U.), NBC News
Political participation is a two-way street, and the current system alienates Latinos.
Nate Silver: ‘There were some models that gave Trump as little as a 1 or 2 percent chance’ of winning in 2016
KK Ottesen, Washington Post Magazine
An interview with Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® improved slightly in February, following an increase in January.