Worry About Crime in U.S. at Highest Level Since 2016
Megan Brenan, Gallup
Americans' concern about crime and violence in the U.S. has edged up in the past year, and for the first time since 2016, a majority (53%) say they personally worry a "great deal" about crime. Seven-in-Ten Americans Now See Russia as an Enemy
Pew Research Center
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to a dramatic shift in American public opinion: 70% of Americans now consider Russia an enemy of the United States, up from 41% in January. 52% Say Justice Thomas Should Sit Out Election Cases
Quinnipiac University Poll
In the wake of reports that Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, communicated with former President Donald Trump's Chief of Staff and urged him to pursue efforts to overturn Joe Biden's 2020 election victory, Americans think 52 - 39 percent that Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas should recuse himself and not participate in any cases that have to do with the 2020 presidential election.
Extreme Weather Has Affected One in Three Americans
Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup
One in three U.S. adults report they have been personally affected by an extreme weather event in the past two years. Most commonly, they report experiencing extreme cold, hurricanes, or snow, ice storms or blizzards.
As the COVID-19 Pandemic Enters the Third Year Most Adults Say They Have Not Fully Returned to Pre-Pandemic ‘Normal’
Kaiser Family Foundation
Conventional wisdom may be that Americans are ready to put COVID-19 in the rearview mirror and cast precautions aside, but the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor report finds that most adults have not yet resumed all of their normal pre-pandemic activities and most continue to mask regularly in public places. Americans approve of releasing oil from the strategic reserve, but will it lower gas prices?
Kathy Frankovic & Linley Sanders, YouGov
Last week, President Joe Biden announced the release of oil from the U.S. strategic reserve, in an attempt to help increase the nation’s gasoline supply and reduce high gas prices. The latest Economist/YouGov poll indicates that the decision is quite popular.
Economy, war and foreign conflict remain the nation’s top issues
This week’s Ipsos’ Core Political has President Biden with a 45% approval rating as the economy and war and foreign conflict remain the nation’s top issues.
Women Voters Age 50 and Over Will Decide the Balance of Power in the Next Election
Women voters age 50 and over haven’t decided which candidates to support, and the direction they choose will very likely decide the balance of power in Congress and statehouses around the country. New research by AARP in partnership with pollsters Celinda Lake, Christine Matthews, Kristen Soltis Anderson, and Margie Omero found that only 17% of women in this important voting bloc have made up their mind about who they will vote for in the 2022 election.
New Jersey: Gov. Murphy Starts Second Term With Positive Ratings
Monmouth University Polling Institute
Gov. Phil Murphy earns a majority job approval rating from New Jerseyans, just months after this number dipped to just above 50% during his reelection campaign. At the same time, though, the latest Monmouth University Poll also finds that 1 in 4 residents say Murphy still has no real accomplishments to point to.
North Carolina: 47% Approve of the U.S. Supreme Court
High Point University Poll
North Carolinians gave the U.S. Supreme Court a job approval rating of 47%. Only 29% of North Carolina residents said they have read or heard a lot about President Joe Biden’s nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the U.S. Supreme Court. Of those same respondents, 43% said North Carolina’s U.S. Senators should vote to confirm Judge Jackson, while 28% said those U.S. Senators should vote against her.
The very different media universes in which Americans live, visualized
Philip Bump, Washington Post
By age and party, Americans rely on and trust different sources for their news.
Alaska: Sarah Palin’s Surprising and Possibly Historic Run for the House
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
How a victory would set her apart from other unsuccessful postwar VP candidates
Alaska: Why Sarah Palin isn't the clear favorite to win the Alaska special election
Harry Enten, CNN
Former GOP Gov. Sarah Palin is running for the state's at-large seat left vacant by the death of longtime Republican Rep. Don Young, and I have no idea whether she is going to win or not.
Alaska: Does the Special Election Create An Opening For Sarah Palin's Comeback?
Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight
The push and pull of different factors, including Palin’s star power, controversial status and Alaska’s new electoral system, will make or break her comeback bid.
Alaska: New election rules hampering Trump’s candidates
Josh Kraushaar, National Journal
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Palin for the state’s vacant House seat and a challenger against Sen. Lisa Murkowski. Thanks to the state’s new election system, he faces tough odds in both races.
New York State: The Challenges of Being Buffalo
Louis Jacobson, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Gov. Hochul’s home has long felt a disconnect with the rest of the state
Virginia: Governing campaign-style
Mark J. Rozell (Schar School, George Mason), Washington Post
Going directly to voters to pressure lawmakers is not new. But, until now, governors relied on barnstorming the state.
With ‘Stealth Politics,’ Billionaires Make Sure Their Money Talks
Jaime Lowe, New York Times Magazine
What makes American oligarchy different from its Russian counterpart is that it operates at significantly greater arm’s length, driven by lobbying and campaign contributions rather than outright corruption.
The Growing Religious Fervor in the American Right: ‘This Is a Jesus Movement’
Elizabeth Dias & Ruth Graham, New York Times
Rituals of Christian worship have become embedded in conservative rallies, as praise music and prayer blend with political anger over vaccines and the 2020 election.
Struggling Democrats hope growing union support will provide boost in midterms
Stephan Bisaha, NPR News
Democrats are losing support on everything from inflation to crime, signaling a potential loss of both the House and the Senate. But labor unions offer Democrats a chance to change that and appeal to workers normally outside their reach.
State by state, we divide further into a Red America and a Blue America
E.J. Dionne Jr., Washington Post
States are moving further and further away from each other in how they deal with health care, voting rights, climate change, abortion and other issues.
Framing: In Honor of Eric Boehlert
James Fallows, Breaking the News
Several examples of framing assumptions to watch for in the mainstream news. When you see or hear stories based on these premises, move on to something else.
Pollster predicts 'favorable environment' for Republicans in 2022 midterms
Public Opinion Strategies partner George Nassar and Schoen Cooperman Research CEO Carly Cooperman debate former President Obama's optimism ahead of the 2022 midterms despite numerous issues facing the Democratic Party.
Do Russians tell the truth when they say they support the war in Ukraine? Evidence from a list experiment
Philipp Chapkovski & Max Schaub, LSE European Politics and Policy blog
An innovative list experiment demonstrates that a significant percentage of Russian citizens are likely to be hiding their true views about the Ukraine conflict.
Feelings Toward Major League Baseball Ahead of Season Opener
AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
Baseball fans do not appear to be concerned about the impact of the 99-day Major League Baseball labor lockout on the upcoming season. Most baseball fans are at least somewhat excited about and interested in the upcoming season while a minority have some feelings of anger or frustration.