We Asked 2,000 Americans About Their Biggest Concern. The Resounding Answer: Inflation.Geoffrey Skelley & Holly Fuong, FiveThirtyEight
In the first FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll, 52 percent of Americans said the most important issue facing the country was inflation. We asked Americans this question in a variety of ways, but regardless of how we asked it, the top answer was always the same: inflation.
Americans cite inflation as their top concernChris Jackson, James Diamond & Johnny Sawyer, Ipsos
The first of seven polls that will comprise the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos 2022 Election Tracking Survey finds that inflation is the top concern for American adults. Many report facing negative financial impacts due to rising prices, and in turn, say they have had to make major changes to how they live their life.
Launch of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos 2022 Midterm Tracking ProjectIpsos
This is the first of seven monthly surveys that will track through and beyond the November election. Each month we will dive into another issue shaping the political environment while tracking the evolution of several benchmark questions over the course of the campaign.
Which issues do Americans think should be decided nationally rather than left to the states?Taylor Orth, Carl Bialik & Kathy Frankovic, YouGov
A recent Economist/YouGov poll asked Americans whether they think a variety of issues policies should be legal nationally, left to the states, or banned nationally. Americans are more likely to say that all six policies asked about should be decided at the national level — whether banned or made legal — rather than preferring they be decided at the state level.
Pro-life and pro-choice Americans see different worlds on adoption, murder, and bodily autonomyKathy Frankovic, Linley Sanders & Taylor Orth, YouGov
How do people who are pro-life differ from people who are pro-choice? Dramatically on many core issues about abortion, including whether the decision should be left to the woman and her doctor, or whether it is equivalent to murder. The closest agreement between the two groups is on the provision of free birth control in the event abortion is outlawed.
Rhode Island: McKee, Gorbea in tight race for governorTed Nesi & Tim White, WPRI
Gov. Dan McKee and Secretary of State Nellie Gorbea are neck and neck in the Democratic primary for governor, but more voters are undecided than supporting either candidate, an exclusive 12 News/Roger Williams University poll shows.
Rhode Island: Magaziner on top in 2nd District, but most are undecidedTed Nesi & Tim White, WPRI
Half of Democratic primary voters are undecided in the race to replace Congressman Jim Langevin, and General Treasurer Seth Magaziner is the only candidate who has substantial support so far, an exclusive 12 News/Roger Williams University poll shows.
Trump waded into GOP primaries. Democrats hope he sticks around.Shannon Pettypiece & Scott Wong, NBC News
The former president’s presence is being increasingly felt in Democrats’ midterm message as they look to leverage his divisiveness to their advantage in yet another election.
Sometimes, a political party needs to listen to the votersStuart Rothenberg, Roll Call
Democrats’ troubles trace to wishful thinking on the appeal of the progressive agenda
Republican Senate candidates promote ‘replacement’ theorySteve Peoples, Associated Press
Several mainstream Republican Senate candidates are drawing on the “great replacement” conspiracy theory once confined to the far-right fringes of U.S. politics to court voters this campaign season, promoting the baseless notion that there is a plot to diminish the influence of white people in America.
The Long Game of White-Power Activists Isn’t Just About ViolenceKathleen Belew (Northwestern), New York Times
White-power extremism reveals that the core of this ideology is not the victims it attacks, but rather the thing it attempts to preserve — and the mechanism that transfigures this ideology into racial violence. It imagines that a conspiracy of elites, usually imagined as Jewish “globalists,” are deliberately working to eradicate both white people and white culture.
What Do Black Americans Think About Roe v. Wade—and WhyTheodore R. Johnson, The Bulwark
In the last two or three decades, black Americans have become more pro-choice, a result of a significant shift toward pro-choice policies by black men.
Biden’s ‘MAGA Republicans’ is a meh-ga sloganWalter Shapiro, Roll Call
Politics at its best is an argument rather than sloganeering. Similarly, actual congressional legislation matters far more than message votes to arouse a party’s base. In short, 2022 will be decided by megatrends, not MAGA slogans.