Increasingly negative views on national outlook and economy
AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
Americans are increasingly negative about the direction of the country and the condition of the national economy. President Joe Biden’s approval rating dropped slightly over the past month to the lowest point of his presidency so far, with 39% approving now compared with 45% in the AP-NORC poll conducted in April.
Biden’s approval dips to lowest of presidency: AP-NORC poll
Nicholas Riccardi, Associated Press
President Joe Biden’s approval rating dipped to the lowest point of his presidency in May, a new poll shows, with deepening pessimism emerging among members of his own Democratic Party. Only 39% of U.S. adults approve of Biden’s performance as president, according to the poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Research, dipping from already negative ratings a month earlier.
Americans Divided on Nuclear Energy
Lydia Saad, Gallup
Americans are evenly split on whether nuclear energy should be a source of electricity in the U.S., with 51% in favor and 47% opposed. Three years ago, the two camps were tied at 49%, while in 2016, the majority (54%) opposed nuclear power.
The share of Americans who say Ukraine is winning the war against Russia has grown in recent weeks
Linley Sanders & Kathy Frankovic, YouGov
Americans have become even more likely to say that Ukraine is winning the war against Russia in recent weeks. Sympathies in the U.S. have always been with Ukraine, but in this week’s Economist/YouGov Poll, twice as many Americans now say Ukraine is winning as say Russia is.
Inflation is a very important issue for most Americans
Kathy Frankovic & Linley Sanders, YouGov
In the latest Economist/YouGov poll, more than three-quarters say the country is “off on the wrong track” when it comes to its current inflation and prices, and 61% say “inflation and prices” are a very important issue to them.
Keeping tabs on the most popular – and unpopular – candidate positions in the NBC poll
Tackling inflation and high prices are among the most popular positions and qualities a 2022 candidate can have. And the least popular are wanting the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade, being endorsed by either President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump, and believing Trump won in 2020.
Safety concerns were top of mind for many Black Americans before Buffalo shooting
John Gramlich, Pew Research Center
In a Pew Research Center survey conducted in mid-April, around a third of Black adults (32%) said they worried every day or almost every day that they might be threatened or attacked because of their race or ethnicity. Around one-in-five Asian Americans (21%) said the same, as did 14% of Hispanic adults and 4% of White adults.
Clifford Young & Sarah Feldman, Ipsos
What do we know about the interplay between nativist and white grievance attitudes and how they factor into politics?
Legal Sports Betting Common Even Where It’s Banned
Fairleigh Dickinson University
While sports betting is still banned or limited in most states, 18 percent of Americans – and 24 percent of those who live in states where app-based betting is legal – say that they’ve made a legal sports bet in the past two years. According to new results from the FDU poll, Americans generally favor the expansion of sports betting by a 50 to 29 margin, but there are signs that legalization has disproportionately impacted racial minorities.
Swing Voters Say: ‘Abortion vs. Inflation’ Is a False Choice
Rich Thau & Matt Steffee (Engagious), The Bulwark
When we conducted a pair of focus groups on May 10 with 13 Georgia swing voters, one question stood out: Will the November elections be more about abortion or inflation?
Polling on Abortion Opinion Misses How Much Would Be Tossed Out With Roe
David W. Moore, FAIR
The Alito draft does not just overturn the main finding of Roe, that women generally have a right to an abortion in the first six months of pregnancy (until “viability”). Alito’s draft reasoning goes beyond that, denying that pregnant people have any rights under any circumstances to terminate a pregnancy, except those explicitly granted to them by the state. Given the impact of the proposed Supreme Court decision, the standard polling questions on abortion are mostly beside the point.
The Real Dividing Line On Abortion
Meredith Conroy (Cal State, San Bernardino) & Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, FiveThirtyEight
The dividing lines of the abortion debate aren’t just about the morality of terminating a pregnancy. They’re also about views of power. Who has it? Who doesn’t? And who should? And the influence of those beliefs isn’t limited to abortion — it also spills into other culture wars, particularly about whether men face discrimination.
In Georgia, a G.O.P. Primary Tests the Power of a Trump Vendetta
Maya King, New York Times
Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is fending off a challenger fueled by Donald J. Trump’s election lies. But do voters still care about 2020 as much as the former president does?
With the Buffalo massacre, white Christian nationalism strikes again
Samuel L. Perry (U. of Oklahoma) & Philip S. Gorski (Yale), Washington Post
A toxic ideology is increasingly overlapping with mainstream views
Mainstreaming Racism & Abortion Ruling Fallout
Poll Hub podcast, Marist Institute for Public Opinion
The mass shooting in Buffalo has put a spotlight on the racist "Great Replacement Theory" and how it has become mainstreamed in parts of the GOP. We look at how many Americans think it's true. Then, our brand-new poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour has new data on what Americans think about the prospect of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade – including what they think of the Court itself and how it might impact the midterm elections in November.