Furor over Roe v. Wade reversal likely won't rescue Democrats in midterm elections Susan Page, Kenneth Tran & Merdie Nzanga, USA Today Democratic strategists who hope a Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade would transform the midterms' political landscape in their favor may be in for a disappointment. In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll, even those Americans who oppose striking down the landmark decision recognizing abortion rights say by 2-1 – 59% to 29% – that the economy will be more important to their vote in November. How does education level, media preference affect abortion knowledge? David Paleologos (Suffolk U.), USA Today Media sources are important filters of information that deserve further research, as the nation becomes more polarized not only in voter opinions on issues, but voter knowledge of issues. The Major Supreme Court Decisions in 2022 Adam Liptak & Jason Kao, New York Times According to a recent survey from researchers at Harvard, Stanford and the University of Texas, the public is closely divided on how the court should rule in several major cases. In many of them, though, respondents held starkly different views based on their partisan affiliations. Here is a look at the major cases this term.
The Forces Shaping America and the 2022 Election Bill McInturff, Public Opinion Strategies Partisans have retreated even further to their ideological corners. A dramatic decline in swing voting. There is profound generational change regarding what values and issues are important. The cost of living and jobs/the economy are the most important issues. Abortion quickly escalated to a top-tier issue following the leak of the SCOTUS brief. National Political Update: Verified Voter Omnibus Echelon Insights Biden Approval Ticks Down Across The Board
Consumers Are Cutting Back on Dining Out, Meat Consumption as Inflation Intensifies Emily Moquin, Morning Consult New survey research finds that the food & beverage industry is being hit hard by inflation, with over half (53%) of U.S. adults last month reporting that they changed their eating and drinking habits as a result of inflation. Will the Democrats’ working-class strategy pay off? Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Senate races in Pennsylvania, Ohio provide complicated test cases What’s Mike Pence’s path back to the White House? Philip Bump, Washington Post The former vice president hopes he can appeal to both the rational and Trumpian wings of the GOP. He might appeal to neither. The complicated conversation about the impact of the January 6 hearings Jon Allsop, Columbia Journalism Review Before the hearings had even begun, whether the public would listen was a prominent concern among media types, with various commentators expressing differing degrees of optimism that the committee would succeed in cutting through our noisy, divided media ecosystem—and, if so, that its findings might focus minds and foster consensus. Since the hearings began, media watchers have returned often to those questions, parsing a range of metrics that might help in answering them. So far, they point to a public response that defies easy characterization. Expectations about prosecuting Trump may be shifting Jennifer Rubin, Washington Post Many Republicans and mainstream media commentators have intoned that the House Jan. 6 committee’s hearings wouldn’t draw ratings or change voters’ minds. That was wrong. In fact, the evidence presented thus far has been far more impactful than the punditocracy predicted. Inside Dems' plan if Roe falls: A voter turnout blitz Elena Schneider, Politico The party is working out how to make the expected Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade a top campaign issue amid economic worry. Are 1 Percent Of Americans Evil? FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast The crew breaks down how the new congressional map falls along partisan lines and why there are a record-low number of competitive districts. They also discuss a new poll from YouGov that asked Americans where they fall on the Dungeons & Dragons alignment chart, ranging from good to evil as well as lawful to chaotic. Finally, the team looks at the newest polling from FiveThirtyEight’s collaboration with Ipsos, in which Americans are asked about the most important political issues leading up to the midterms. This edition focused on political polarization, crime and gun violence. Tweets of Note
Brennan Center @BrennanCenter
"There is no permanent election worker or supervisor in that video that's still there." - former Georgia election worker Shaye Moss on how a doctored video put forth by the Trump campaign drove election officials out of their jobs. #January6thCommitteeHearings
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