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Opinion Today

June 24, 2022

Jun 24
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Public Pressure for Gun Legislation Up After Shootings
Megan Brenan, Gallup
Roughly a month after mass shootings at a grocery store in Buffalo, New York, and an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas, the public's support for stricter gun laws has risen sharply from its seven-year low in October. The 66% of Americans who now want laws covering the sale of firearms to be stricter is up 14 percentage points and is the highest since shortly after the Parkland, Florida, high school shooting in 2018.
Confidence in U.S. Supreme Court Sinks to Historic Low
Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup
With the U.S. Supreme Court expected to overturn the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision before the end of its 2021-2022 term, Americans' confidence in the court has dropped sharply over the past year and reached a new low in Gallup's nearly 50-year trend.
Biden approval falls fourth straight week, tying record low
Rose Horowitch, Reuters
U.S. President Joe Biden's public approval rating fell for a fourth straight week to 36% matching its lowest level last seen in late May, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll completed on Wednesday.

Ipsos Core Political: President Biden’s approval rating is at 36%
Ipsos
This week's Ipsos Core Political has President Biden with a 36% approval rating, as the majority of Americans believe the country is off on the wrong track.

Prevailing view among Americans is that U.S. influence in the world is weakening – and China’s is growing
Aidan Connaughton, Pew Research Center
Americans overwhelmingly view China as a “competitor” or an “enemy” to the United States, rather than a “partner.” And it appears that most U.S. adults do not think that their country is winning the competition for geopolitical influence, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey.

Americans differ by party, age over ways to reduce the number of abortions in the U.S.
Justin Nortey, Pew Research Center
Americans’ long-standing debate over abortion has often centered on whether the procedure should be legal. But beneath the surface, there also is disagreement among U.S. adults over whether legal restrictions on abortion are an effective way to reduce the number of abortions in the United States in the first place – or whether there are other ways to do so.

What Worries the World – June 2022
Teodros Gebrekal, Ipsos
Concern about inflation continues to rise, now worrying almost four in ten people globally.

Latinos Overwhelmingly Support Gun Reform Measures, Abortion Access
Voto Latino
Decisive majorities of Latinos in battleground states express support for a range of policies to reduce gun violence in the United States and are deeply concerned about the possibility of a Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade according to poll numbers released by Voto Latino. The poll, conducted by Change Research, surveyed 1,033 registered Hispanic and Latino voters in the seven key battleground states of Texas, Arizona, Nevada, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

Economic and safety concerns are top-of-mind for Black voters
Global Strategy Group
Our latest report takes an in-depth qualitative look at Black voters’ perceptions of the two parties and the state of our politics in 2022 – exploring the reasons why Black voters identify with the political parties they do and how GOP charges of Democratic radicalism, socialism, and identity politics sits with them.

What are Americans thinking about the January 6 hearings
William A. Galston, Brookings Institution
Many Americans are following the January 6 committee’s hearings, but few minds are being changed, according to national surveys conducted since the hearings began. Here are five major takeaways from these surveys.

The Jan. 6 committee is reaching its audience. Is that enough?
Philip Bump, Washington Post
Those paying attention to the committee report concern about a repeat of the day's violence. But many Americans still aren't paying attention.
Authoritarian populist Americans who feel a sense of victimhood and white identity are most likely to support political violence
Miles T. Armaly (U. of Mississippi) & Adam M. Ender (U. of Louisville), LSE USAPP
In our research, we examine the predictors of support for political violence with the aim of constructing a comprehensive list of the potential predictors of violence and generating a predictive profile of the characteristics displayed by individuals who are likely to support violence (i.e., of who might agree with statements like “Violence is sometimes an acceptable way for Americans to express their disagreement with the government.”). In all, we identified 24 potential predictors of support for political violence, some previously identified and others unique to our analysis.

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How journalists can spot the signs of autocracy — and help ward it off
Margaret Sullivan, Washington Post
The threats to democracy are everywhere now. A new guidebook tries to show reporters the right way to cover them.

Can Democrats 'Break Away' From an Unpopular President?
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
Over the last few weeks, we've seen several polls showing Democratic Senate candidates running either slightly or significantly ahead of President Biden's job approval ratings in their state. The big question is whether they'll be able to keep this distance between themselves and Biden for the next four months, especially as GOP candidates and campaigns start focusing in earnest on attaching them to the unpopular president and his policies.

Democrats had an opportunity for a major political realignment. They blew it.
Catherine Rampell, Washington Post
Democrats' anti-business blather has cost them a valuable political partner and hampered their ability to respond to the economic crisis of our times.

Supreme Court steps on Senate’s generational statement on guns with one of its own
Stephen Collinson, CNN
It was a moment of triumph, hewn from tragedy and years in the making, as the US Senate finally acted after the horror of yet another mass killing and passed the most significant firearms legislation in nearly a generation. Yet in a cruel twist, the life’s work of many bereaved relatives turned activists was overshadowed before it happened by an even longer-fought victory for the gun lobby that throws into grave doubt government’s power to regulate firearms.

Get ready for more armed people in America’s largest states
Philip Bump, Washington Post
A Supreme Court decision revoked the ability of states to limit concealed-carry permits — a subject on which public opinion is hard to measure.

The Myth of the ‘Good Guy With a Gun’ Has Religious Roots
Peter Manseau, New York Times
For many American Christians, Jesus, guns and the Constitution are stitched together as durably as a Kevlar vest.

Why Ron DeSantis Can Beat Trump in 2024
Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine
The party is deciding, and the voters are getting the message.

Democrats are having a mini-2024 primary right now
Perry Bacon Jr., Washington Post
Presidents don't typically face so many questions about whether they'll seek a second term. But Biden hasn't found himself in normal circumstances.

What We Lose When We Lose Competitive Congressional Districts
Lee Drutman (New America), FiveThirtyEight
Citizens who live in competitive electoral areas tend to be more interested in public affairs. They are more politically informed. They are even more likely to volunteer and be involved in community activity. These markers of healthy civic life decline in uncompetitive districts.
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