Opinion Today
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Fox News Poll: Race for Congress tightens Dana Blanton, Fox News Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats about voting in the November election, but the spread has narrowed, according to a new Fox News national survey. If voting today, the survey shows the race tied, as 41% would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 41% the Republican.
Fox News Poll: 75% dissatisfied with nation’s direction Dana Blanton, Fox News Large majorities rate the economy negatively, fail to see signs of a recovery, and are generally unhappy with the way things are going in the country. And the unhappiness is now bipartisan, as over half of Democrats join almost all Republicans and independents in being dissatisfied. Fox News Poll: Record 55% disapprove of SCOTUS; 60% disapprove of overturning Roe v. Wade Victoria Balara, Fox News On the heels of the high court overturning the landmark abortion case Roe v. Wade in late June, a new Fox News survey finds a record number of registered voters disapproving of the U.S. Supreme Court. Sixty percent disapprove of the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe.
Most Voters Don’t Believe the FBI’s Mar-a-Lago Raid Was Politically Motivated Eli Yokley, Morning Consult Former President Donald Trump has used the intense investigative scrutiny he is facing to energize his supporters. It’s working with Republicans, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey conducted after the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s raid of his Mar-a-Lago home, but much of the broader electorate isn’t buying his claims of a political “witch hunt.”
More registered voters approve of Mar-a-Lago search than disapprove Olivia Olander, Politico The results underscored continued partisan divisions surrounding the former president, even as more respondents supported Trump running for the Oval Office again in 2024 than supported Biden. Americans Support 19 of the Major Proposals in Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 Program for Public Consultation, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland A new analysis of past in-depth surveys conducted on 20 of the major proposals in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022—related to the environment, health care, and the workforce—shows that 19 proposals receive majority support, including majorities of Democrats and Independents, and in most cases, large bipartisan majorities. As Republicans Stoke Fear About Increased IRS Enforcement, Most Voters Aren’t Concerned Amanda Jacobson Snyder, Morning Consult Roughly half of voters believe the most likely target of increased audits will be the wealthy Americans Favor Aiding Taiwan with Arms but Not Troops Dina Smeltz & Craig Kafura, Chicago Council on Global Affairs House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s recent trip to Taiwan aimed to deliver “an unequivocal statement that America stands with Taiwan, our democratic partner, as it defends itself and its freedom.” Results from the just-completed 2022 Chicago Council Survey, fielded July 15–August 1, show that the American public also expresses support for Taiwan.
U.S. consumer sentiment shows continued stability Ipsos Expectations Index rebounds while inflation worries remain unchanged. Americans Want Stricter Vaping Regulations, Mixed on Tobacco Lydia Saad, Gallup Six in 10 Americans would like the laws and regulations dealing with electronic cigarettes to be stricter, a view shared by majorities of men, women and all age groups. Views on e-cigarettes are also bipartisan, with more than half of Republicans, independents and Democrats wanting stricter laws. A Majority Of Americans Disapprove Of The Court’s Reversal On Roe And Fear Erasure Of Progress Navigator Research Four in five continue to say the decision to get an abortion should be left to women and their doctors, and a majority disapprove of the Supreme Court’s ruling to overturn Roe. Two in three Americans are concerned by positive outcomes for women being erased as a result of Roe being overturned. Three in five support Congress passing a law protecting a federal right to same-sex marriage, while an even greater seven in ten support federal protection for access to contraception. Wyoming: Survey Finds Hageman Leading Cheney in GOP Primary University of Wyoming Wyoming Republican primary candidate Harriet Hageman is leading incumbent Liz Cheney by nearly 30 points in the primary race for Wyoming’s lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, according to a new survey by the University of Wyoming’s Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center. Oregon: Abortion Oregon Values and Beliefs Center From July 8–16, 2022, the Oregon Values and Beliefs Center conducted a statewide survey to determine Oregonians’ thoughts on abortion in light of the recent Federal Supreme Court Roe v. Wade ruling. Florida swing voters: Bring on the search warrants Alexi McCammond, Axios Florida swing voters in our latest Engagious/Schlesinger focus groups said the FBI's search of Mar-a-Lago was justified — and that it would be a "serious crime" if former President Trump did take classified documents from the White House. Hispanic Voters Are Normie Voters Ruy Teixeira, The Liberal Patriot Hispanic voters are overwhelmingly an upwardly mobile, patriotic population with practical and down to earth concerns focused on jobs, the economy, health care, effective schools and public safety. In short, they are normie voters, not at all a liberal voting bloc, especially on social issues, that just needs to be mobilized. Kansas abortion vote shows limits of GOP’s strength Associated Press An increase in turnout among Democrats and independents and a notable shift in Republican-leaning counties contributed to the overwhelming support of abortion rights last week in traditionally conservative Kansas, according to a detailed Associated Press analysis of the voting results. Meet some of the pro-abortion-rights Kansans who stunned the nation Perry Bacon Jr., Washington Post Even if the country’s elected officials and activists are clearly split into a Team Blue largely unified around one set of views and a Team Red with opposing ones, the nation’s voters are more complicated. Whose Baggage Will Weigh Heaviest This Fall? Charlie Cook Has the course of this election reached an inflection point? Have President Biden and congressional Democrats effectively mitigated the excessive political baggage they’ve accumulated over the last 18 months? Have events and circumstances and last week’s strong jobs report changed enough over the last six weeks to save at least the Senate, if not the House? The electoral outlook for Democrats shifts from bleak to blurry Philip Bump, Washington Post The generic ballot has tightened in recent weeks. The forecast remains murky.
The Decisive Vote David Leonhardt, New York Times Now that Joe Manchin has saved the Democratic agenda, how should liberals think about him? Who candidates are influences the emotional appeals they can make in their campaigns Zack Scott (U. of Rhode Island) & Jared McDonald (U. of Mary Washington), LSE USAPP Prior research on candidates’ use of emotions in campaigns focuses primarily on the strategic incentives behind getting emotional. In a new research article we go beyond these strategic considerations to evaluate how candidates’ group identities might create constraints and incentives on the use of emotions. We focus on three group identities: gender, partisanship, and race. What's Driving Record-Low Trust in News Media? Gallup podcast Americans' confidence in media has fallen to record lows. There are critiques aplenty of the media, but what does the conversation about declining trust often miss? And was there really ever a "golden era" of journalism? Pulitzer Prize-winning author and journalist Wesley Lowery joins the podcast to discuss.