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Opinion Today
Opinion Today
Opinion Today

Opinion Today

February 13, 2024

Feb 13, 2024
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We polled former DeSantis voters on who they're backing now. Most say Trump.
David Montgomery, YouGov
The Stanford-Arizona State-Yale Election Panel (SAY24), conducted by YouGov, traces the movement of voters between candidates over time. This data provides a unique look at how individual Republican voters have been changing their minds — or not — in the 2024 election.
The Special Counsel Report Hasn’t Changed Voters’ Views on Biden’s Age, but Most Already Thought He Is Too Old
Eli Yokley, Morning Consult
Special counsel Robert Hur’s observations about President Joe Biden’s “significantly limited” memory have rattled Washington, setting off a cycle of renewed attention on the president’s age and public verbal slips. The good news for Biden is that this latest episode doesn’t appear to have changed how voters view his age and mental fitness, according to Morning Consult’s high-frequency tracking data. The bad news for Biden is that the public already have grave concerns on these topics.

Biden chips away at Trump’s lead
Cameron Easley, Morning Consult
Trump leads Biden by 1 percentage point (43% to 42%) in our latest national tracking survey. Trump’s 1-point lead is down from a record-high 6-point edge from earlier last week. 
Consumers More Optimistic about Their Financial Situation and Credit Access
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today released the January 2024 Survey of Consumer Expectations, which shows improvements in households’ perceptions and expectations of their financial conditions and credit availability.
Voters Who Are Concerned About Inflation Are Mostly Concerned About Grocery Prices — and Overwhelmingly Support Taking Action Against “Shrinkflation”
Rob Todaro, Data for Progress
Eighty-eight percent of voters are at least “somewhat concerned” about inflation, including 58% of voters who are “very concerned,” according to a new survey from Data for Progress.

America in Focus: Why This Group of Undecided Independent Voters Is Leaning Toward Trump
Patrick Healy, Margie Omero & Adrian J. Rivera, New York Times [unlocked]
What can President Biden say and do to win over undecided voters? What concerns and arguments will draw these voters to Donald Trump? For our latest Times Opinion focus group, we spoke with 13 undecided independent voters from across the country about how they see the two leading presidential candidates and explored some issues that might affect how they vote in November. To a striking degree, most of the participants tilted toward Mr. Trump, even though they disliked his personality.

South Carolina: Republicans give Trump large lead over Haley ahead of 2024 primary
Anthony Salvanto, Kabir Khanna, Jennifer De Pinto & Fred Backus, CBS News
In South Carolina's 2024 Republican primary election, most voters look back approvingly on Nikki Haley's time as the state's governor, but also say it doesn't matter to them that she's from the state — and instead say that they're thinking nationally about the party's nomination. So, for that and many other reasons, Donald Trump has a very big advantage here, just as he does with Republicans nationally.

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