The hush-money trial has yet to change minds on Trump's guilt Taylor Orth & Kathy Frankovic, YouGov An increasing number of Americans — and, in particular, Republicans — are paying attention to Donald Trump's ongoing trial. There is significant uncertainty regarding the outcome of the trial: 44% of Americans are unsure whether Trump will be convicted. 22% think he will be and 34% think he won't. Twice as many Americans believe Trump should be convicted (45%) in his hush-money trial as think he will be (22%).
Two in Three Blame Oil Companies for Rising Gas Prices Maryann Cousens, Navigator Research CEO Confidence Increased Slightly in Q2 2024 Conference Board North Carolina: Robinson, Stein Neck and Neck for Governor’s Mansion Carolina Journal
How Much Will Gaza Affect Joe Biden’s Re-election Chances? Nicholas Grossman (U. Illinois), The Bulwark Latino voting behavior: Bad polling leads to bad assumptions Gabriel R. Sanchez & Jordin Tafoya, Brookings Institution
The long, strange political shadow of 2020 Nate Silver, Silver Bulletin Corporate America Is Sitting Out the Trump-Biden Rematch Chip Cutter & Ray A. Smith, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] Reading Election Polls Jonathan Bernstein, Good Politics/Bad Politics House Democrats’ Surprise Campaign Play: Embracing Border Security Natalie Andrews & Michelle Hackman, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] The 2024 Election: Six Months To Go, Six Things We've Learned Steve Caplan, Ctrl+Alt+Persuade+Delete
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PLAYLIST
Are We Smarter Than The Betting Markets?
538 Politics
Inside the College Democrats’ Rebuke of Biden
The Run-Up
John Della Volpe - Understanding Gen Z
The Daily Show
Analyzing how Americans view protest movements over time
CBS News
Young Latinos in Arizona express concerns over 2024 election
NBC News