Opinion Weekend
June 8-9, 2024
New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: After Trump felony conviction, Biden leads for 1st time in months — but not by much Andrew Romano, Yahoo News In the wake of former President Trump’s felony conviction, President Biden now leads his Republican rival in a two-way race for the White House for the first time since October 2023. Overall, 52% say Trump’s conviction was a “fair outcome meant to hold him accountable for his own actions”; just 35% who say it was “an unfair outcome meant to damage him politically.” Slightly more Americans think Trump should get a prison sentence (43%) than think he should not (40%).
The impact of Trump’s guilty verdict Clifford Young, Sarah Feldman & Bernard Mendez, Ipsos The guilty verdict of former President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is old news at this point. In the aftermath of the verdict, what can we tell about the impact the verdict might have on the 2024 presidential race? Most horserace polls haven’t shifted significantly. But what about the indicators that typically have some predictive power when it comes to presidential elections?
