Opinion Today
July 15, 2024
Debate aftermath damages Biden and Democratic Party — but matchup with Trump is unchanged Mark Murray, NBC News A new national NBC News poll — conducted after President Joe Biden’s bad debate performance and before a gunman fired at former President Donald Trump and rallygoers in Pennsylvania on Saturday — found the presidential contest remaining stable and competitive, with Biden trailing former President Donald Trump by 2 points in the survey.
Where Kamala Harris runs stronger (and weaker) than Biden in NBC News' poll Mark Murray, NBC News The latest NBC News poll, which was conducted before a gunman fired at former President Donald Trump and rallygoers in Pennsylvania on Saturday, showed both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris trailing Republican Donald Trump by 2 points in head-to-head matchups. Trump led Biden 45%-43%, with 12% undecided or preferring another choice, while the Republican former president was ahead of Harris 47%-45%, with 8% undecided or preferring another choice. Fox News Poll: Post-debate, Trump is back on top in horserace Dana Blanton, Fox News Former President Trump narrowly regains the top spot in the race for the White House, besting President Biden by just one point. That’s according to a Fox News national survey that was taken after the first presidential debate but before Saturday’s assassination attempt on the former president.
Trump maintains edge over Biden in battleground states on eve of GOP convention, CBS News poll finds Anthony Salvanto, Kabir Khanna, Jennifer De Pinto & Fred Backus, CBS News Donald Trump and the Republican Party will begin their convention week with a narrow but consistent advantage across the battleground states, which would translate into Trump being better positioned to win in the Electoral College right now. Things essentially haven't changed since the immediate aftermath of the debate, when sentiment shifted slightly toward Trump, so this remains a fairly stable contest in that regard. These polls and estimates were completed before the shooting at the Trump rally Saturday in Pennsylvania.
Confidence in Institutions Mostly Flat, but Police Up Megan Brenan, Gallup Americans’ confidence in major U.S. institutions has generally been stable in the past and remains historically low in general, with only three of 17 earning majority-level confidence. Confidence in only one of the institutions -- the police -- has shown meaningful change in the past year.
America in Focus: 11 Black Men on What Democrats and Republicans Get Wrong About Their Lives Patrick Healy, Kristen Soltis Anderson & Adrian J. Rivera, New York Times While President Biden enjoys strong support from Black voters, Donald Trump has chipped away at that crucial Democratic base: He won 12 percent of Black voters in the 2020 election and did especially well with Black men, winning 19 percent. Some pollsters think Mr. Trump may do even better in November. So for our latest Times Opinion focus group, we wanted to hear from Black men who like Mr. Trump to better understand why — including those who disliked him at first but changed their minds. This focus group was held last week, before the assassination attempt on Mr. Trump.
