Opinion Today: Topline
Selected links from the August 5, 2024, edition of Opinion Today
Boosts in Democratic excitement help Harris reset the race against Trump — CBS News poll Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto, Kabir Khanna, Fred Backus, CBS News Boosted by Democrats, younger and Black voters becoming more engaged and likely to vote, and by women decidedly thinking she'd favor their interests more, Vice President Kamala Harris has reset the 2024 presidential race. She has a 1-point edge nationally — something President Biden never had (he was down by 5 points when he left the race) — and Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied across the collective battleground states.
Surprise Poll Reveals a Key Trump Weakness Against Kamala Harris Greg Sargent, New Republic What Do First-Time Voters Think About This Election? We Asked Nine of Them Terell Wright, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] Dueling Harris and Trump rallies in the same Atlanta arena showcase America’s deep divides Bill Barrow, Associated Press Hold the 'blue wall,' or light up the Sun Belt? Harris eyes path through U.S. battlegrounds Kevin Rector, Los Angeles Times [via Yahoo] Harris' new map: Sun Belt back in play Sophia Cai, Axios What happens if there’s a tie in 2024? Be ready for a ‘contingent election’ Zachary B. Wolf, Ethan Cohen and Renee Rigdon, CNN
Polls show 'weird' attack on JD Vance may be working CNN The Seinfeld Election Bruce Mehlman's Age of Disruption
Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error Jeff Dominitz (NORC) & Charles F. Manski (Northwestern), National Bureau of Economic Research
PLAYLIST
JD Vance, Project 2025, and How the Right Got Weird
Offline with Jon FavreauThe Problems with Polling
Power and Flour Podcast