Opinion Today: Topline
Selected links from the September 24, 2024, edition of Opinion Today
2024 Election Environment Favorable to GOP Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes or that speak to current perceptions of the two major parties favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party.
Americans Agree Nation Is Divided on Key Values Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup About half of Hispanic Protestants and Hispanic Catholics favor legalizing abortion nationwide AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find Adam Nagourney, Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker, New York Times [unlocked]
What’s Behind Trump’s Best Poll Results in Weeks Nate Cohn, New York Times [unlocked] Battlegrounds: How Trump and Harris Voters See America’s Role in the World Institute for Global Affairs Social Pressure Index: Private Opinion in America Populace It’s Eclectic, Boogie Woogie Woogie: Ideological Heterodoxy in the Swing States Blueprint Wisconsin: Harris has largest post-debate lead yet over Trump Jack Kelly, Wisconsin Watch
Wisconsin: Baldwin holds commanding lead over Hovde Jack Kelly, Wisconsin Watch Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation survey shows Trump leads Harris by only 6% Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation Minnesota: Harris up on Trump but not by much as Democratic enthusiasm spikes Mark Zdechlik, MPR News Minnesota: Klobuchar with comfortable lead in U.S. Senate race Craig Helmstetter, MPR News Massachusetts: Harris with huge lead Richard Parr, CommonWealth Beacon Republicans are favored to win the Senate, and Democrats to win the House, in new YouGov model Douglas Rivers, Delia Bailey, David Montgomery & Carl Bialik, YouGov
Mapping 8 paths to victory for Harris and Trump in the 2024 election Lenny Bronner and Nick Mourtoupalas, Washington Post [unlocked] The Biden-Harris Economy Shines on Wisconsin Matthew A. Winkler, Bloomberg [unlocked] Donald Trump’s imaginary and frightening world Ashley Parker, Washington Post [unlocked] Accurate Polls Hinge on a Tricky Question: Who’s Actually Going to Vote? Kaleigh Rogers and Christine Zhang, New York Times [unlocked] Trust a pollster more when it publishes “outliers” Nate Silver, Silver Bulletin
There’s much, much more in today’s FULL edition of Opinion Today:
PLAYLIST
Is Trump Losing His Electoral College Advantage?
538 PoliticsEntering the Homestretch
National Journal RadioHarris gains ground with economy-focused voters, CBS News poll finds
CBS NewsSteve Kornacki: New NBC News poll shows ‘off the charts’ gender gap between Harris and Trump
NBC NewsCrossroads: A conversation with America – A PBS News Special
PBS News