Opinion Weekend
October 12-13, 2024
Paid subscribers: To stay current with major developments, remember to check our Campaign 2024 Update page between issues of Opinion Today. It's updated daily with polls and election analyses released after our morning newsletter is emailed to subscribers.
Harris Struggles to Win Over Latinos, While Trump Holds His Grip, Poll Shows Jennifer Medina, Ruth Igielnik and Jazmine Ulloa, New York Times [unlocked] Vice President Kamala Harris’s support among Hispanic voters is in dangerously low territory for Democrats, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll, while her rival, former President Donald J. Trump, has maintained his strength with the fast-growing group poised to play a key role in deciding control of the White House.
Trump Leads in Arizona as Harris Holds an Edge in Pennsylvania, New Polls Show Michael C. Bender and Ruth Igielnik, New York Times [unlocked] Two of the nation’s most-contested battleground states — Pennsylvania and Arizona — illustrate the difficulties each campaign faces in gaining a clear advantage in the final stretch of the 2024 race, with Kamala Harris maintaining a narrow lead in Pennsylvania but Donald J. Trump continuing to hold an advantage in Arizona, according to a new pair of New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College polls.
A Mystery Repeats: Harris Up 4 in Pennsylvania, and Trump Up 6 in Arizona Nate Cohn, New York Times [unlocked] Being uncertain about our earlier poll results but finding almost the same numbers the next time around. Battle for Swing States Is Tied, Trump Has Edge on Top Issues, WSJ Poll Shows Aaron Zitner, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] Voters prefer the Republican on economy and border security, but Harris still has a path to Electoral College win
Trump Has Clear Edge on Handling Israel, Ukraine Wars, WSJ Poll Shows Sabrina Siddiqui, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] By double-digit margins, swing-state voters prefer the former president over Harris when it comes to dealing with both conflicts Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows Maya King, Jonathan Weisman and Ruth Igielnik, New York Times [unlocked] Vice President Kamala Harris is on track to win a majority of Black voters, and has brought many back to her party since taking over for President Biden. Still, a significant gap in support persists.
Voters question Harris' pitch as agent of change: POLL Gary Langer, ABC News Vice President Kamala Harris' positioning as a change agent is running into headwinds from her role in the unpopular Biden administration: While three-quarters of Americans in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll want her to take a new direction from President Joe Biden's, most don't think she would.
Most Americans feel both campaigns lack policy details as election approaches Ipsos New ABC News/Ipsos poll finds many are not as well off financially as they were when Biden took office
Which of 15 election policies would Democrats and Republicans support? Jamie Ballard, YouGov A new YouGov survey explores how Americans are feeling about election integrity, voter fraud, and voter suppression ahead of the November election.
Significant Shifts Among Women Voters in VP Harris’ Favor Across a Range of Key Election Issues KFF In a special follow-up poll of the same women voters who were previously interviewed in June (before President Biden announced he wouldn’t run for reelection), KFF finds substantial shifts in favor of Vice President Harris across a range of key election issues, including the handling of rising household and health care costs, as well as increased enthusiasm for the candidates and motivation to vote. As the presidential election draws near, the survey also shows a pronounced rise in the salience of abortion as a voting issue for women under age 30.
