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October 17, 2024

Oct 17, 2024
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The election's aftermath, hurricanes, and MLB playoffs: October 12-15, 2024, Economist/YouGov Poll
Kathy Frankovic & David Montgomery, YouGov
This week’s Economist/YouGov poll covers the latest on the election, what people expect about the election's fairness and its aftermath, perceptions of JD Vance, where voters have found out about candidates, hurricanes' impact, and watching baseball.
Fox News Poll: Trump ahead of Harris by 2 points nationally
Dana Blanton, Fox News
Former President Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential contest 50%-48%, according to a new Fox News national survey. That’s a reversal from last month, when Harris had a narrow advantage. Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states, and the candidates are tied at 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points).
Trump Support Depends on Being Seen as Masculine
Dan Cassino, Fairleigh Dickinson University
Voters nationally give Vice President and Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris an edge over former President Donald Trump in November’s election by a three-point margin (50 to 47), but gender remains central to the race. If elected, Harris would be the first woman President: but according to the latest results from the FDU Poll, it’s perceptions of Trump’s masculinity that are key to the election, with his support depending on the 41 percent of voters who say that he’s “completely masculine.”

Media source affects Americans’ understanding of crime, immigration, the economy
Ipsos
Americans who primarily get their news from conservative media are more likely to incorrectly answer questions about the current state of the economy, immigration, and crime compared to Americans who get their news elsewhere. Americans who answer questions correctly about current political issues are more likely to say Harris is stronger than Trump across policy areas. Americans who answer incorrectly are more likely to say Trump is stronger across policy areas.

Republicans, young adults now nearly as likely to trust info from social media as from national news outlets
Kirsten Eddy, Pew Research Center
Republicans are now nearly as likely to trust the information that comes from social media sites as they are to trust information from national news organizations, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. The same pattern appears among young adults.

Approval of U.S. Supreme Court edges upward, but 55% disapprove of the Court’s work
Marquette Law School Poll
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that 45% of adults approve of the job the U.S. Supreme Court is doing, while 55% disapprove. In July, approval was 43% and disapproval was 57%.

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