Opinion Today
October 29, 2024
Most voters ready to accept election results but doubt Trump will Allison De Jong, ABC News Two-thirds believe Trump is not prepared to accept the outcome as legitimate.
CES estimates on the 2024 presidential election Brian Schaffner, Cooperative Election Study Each election year, the Cooperative Election Study (CES) produces summary results from its pre-election interviews with American adults. The 2024 pre-election results, including dynamic crosstabs, can be found here. The survey shows Kamala Harris with a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters (51% – 47%). About 3% of likely voters remain undecided.
Trump gains with Hispanic men, Harris up with white women, Reuters/Ipsos polls show Jason Lange and Bo Erickson, Reuters Former President Trump now trails Vice President Harris by just 2 percentage points among Hispanic men - 44% to 46% - compared with his 19 point deficit with Democrat Joe Biden at the same point in 2020, according to the analysis of more than 15,000 responses to Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted in the month through Oct. 21 and during the same period of 2020. New polling finds Harris gaining with a group she has struggled with: Black men Asma Khalid, NPR News A new NAACP survey offers a mixed picture for the vice president. She has gained ground among Black men since August, but about one in five say they are still backing former President Donald Trump. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to be scared about the state of the world Jamie Ballard, YouGov A new YouGov survey finds that most Americans are feeling scared as the election nears, and most are worried about extremism. The candidates themselves are viewed as too extreme by much of the population: 40% say Harris is too extreme and 50% say Trump is.
Many voters are worried about the electoral process and transition of power AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research Concerns about post-election violence are widespread. Seventy-six percent of registered voters are at least somewhat worried about violence aimed at overturning the election results, including 42% who are very or extremely concerned.
Smaller Majorities Say Crime In U.S. Is Serious, Increasing Megan Brenan, Gallup Americans’ perceptions of crime in the U.S. have improved, with the percentage saying national crime has increased over the past year falling by 13 points, to 64%. Similarly, the 56% of U.S. adults who now say the problem of crime in the U.S. is “extremely” or “very” serious is down seven percentage points.
