Opinion Today: Topline
Selected links from the October 31, 2024, edition of Opinion Today
Polls Show Trump’s Edge Shrinking on Voters’ Top Issue: The Economy Ruth Igielnik, New York Times [unlocked] The economy is still the No. 1 issue in the presidential election. Voters rated it as their top priority in the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, as they have in every Times/Siena poll this year. And while former President Donald J. Trump remains the more trusted candidate in terms of handling the economy, Vice President Kamala Harris has closed much of the gap.
Harris maintains small lead, trust in elections, and Halloween: October 26-29, 2024, Economist/YouGov Poll Kathy Frankovic & David Montgomery, YouGov
Final Election Indicators Give Mixed Signals Lydia Saad, Gallup More Than Half of U.S. Votes Likely Cast Before Election Day Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup
Americans are anxious and frustrated about the presidential campaign, an AP-NORC poll finds Linley Sanders, Associated Press Trump vs Harris: How the US electorate splits ahead of Election Day Reuters Americans’ views of 2024 state ballot measures on workers’ rights, abortion, drugs, and more Jamie Ballard, YouGov "We're Just Surviving": Meet the Young Voters Who Could Determine the Election JDV on Gen Z Majority of swing-state voters say they fear violence if Trump loses Colby Itkowitz, Dan Keating, Emily Guskin and Scott Clement, Washington Post [unlocked]
CNN Polls: Harris has a narrow edge in Michigan and Wisconsin, while she and Trump remain tied in Pennsylvania Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards-Levy and Edward Wu, CNN Pennsylvania: It’s neck-and-neck in presidential race; McCormick closes the gap in Senate race Victoria Balara, Fox News
Pennsylvania: It’s Really, Really Close Monmouth University Polling Institute Pennsylvania: In Tight Presidential Race, Trump Gets Boost From Men; Senate Race Tightens Quinnipiac University Poll Pennsylvania: Democrat Casey narrowly leading in Senate race Kabir Khanna, CBS News Michigan: Voters near evenly split between Harris and Trump, Post poll finds Scott Clement, Emily Guskin and Dan Balz, Washington Post [unlocked]
Michigan: Harris erases Trump’s lead on the economy Victoria Balara, Fox News
Wisconsin: Harris supported by 50% of likely voters, Trump by 49% Charles Franklin, Marquette Law School Poll North Carolina: Trump still narrowly ahead of Harris Dana Blanton, Fox News Texas: Voters’ Opinion Center for Opinion Research, University of Texas at Tyler New Hampshire: Harris Leads Trump Saint Anselm College Survey Center New Jersey: Kim Up Big in Senate Race Fairleigh Dickinson University Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout G. Elliott Morris, 538
Who will decide this election — does it even matter? Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill 'I'm not a one-issue voter, but this is huge': Women on how abortion shaped their vote Rachel Looker, BBC News When reality is seen as biased, objectivity alone won’t shield the press Philip Bump, Washington Post [unlocked]
Why the Right Thinks Trump Is Running Away With the Race Ken Bensinger and Kaleigh Rogers, New York Times [unlocked] Election night disinformation risks Darrell M. West, Brookings Institution Trump wants to compare now to four years ago. Here’s what it looks like Howard Schneider, Reuters Millions of Movers Reveal American Polarization in Action Ronda Kaysen and Ethan Singer, New York Times [unlocked]
There’s much, much more in today’s FULL edition of Opinion Today:
PLAYLIST
Can we believe the polls?
The Science of PoliticsIs the Backlash to a Racist Joke Trump’s October Surprise
The Political SceneBetting on Nevada: Jon Ralston on the 2024 campaigns' possible last stand
The Chuck ToddCastNew polling shows where Harris has an edge over Trump
CNNPolitical polls 101: What the latest 2024 numbers say, and how polling works
CNNHow a college degree is one of the best predictors of which candidate voters support
PBS NewsHourUS election: How X users could be earning thousands from misinformation and AI images
BBC News