Opinion Today: Topline
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Opinion Today: Topline
Selected links from the November 1, 2024, edition of Opinion Today
Economy, Immigration, Abortion, Democracy Driving Voters Megan Brenan, Gallup More U.S. registered voters name the economy than any other issue as the most important factor determining which candidate they are supporting in this year’s presidential election. The 21% of voters overall naming the economy in response to the open-ended question includes 35% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents but only 7% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents.
Voters have more confidence in an accurate vote count in their own state or locality than nationwide AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
Donald Trump leads on immigration and inflation, Kamala Harris on abortion and health care Jamie Ballard, YouGov
Women and politics: What Americans think about the 2024 election and how views have changed Taylor Orth, YouGov
Which industries do Americans think would do better with Harris or Trump as president? Jamie Ballard, YouGov
How beliefs about male honor are affecting the election David Montgomery, YouGov
The Obama-Trump-Harris Voter: This Is Democracy Manifest Blueprint CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards-Levy and Edward Wu, CNN
Pennsylvania: Harris, Trump tied as election day approaches Cybele Mayes-Osterman & Karissa Waddick, USA Today Pennsylvania: Harris +2 Points Against Trump Marist Institute for Public Opinion Pennsylvania: Harris, Trump Nearly Tied University of Massachusetts Lowell Michigan: Trump, Harris Close in Presidential Race; Slotkin Leads Rogers in Senate Race University of Massachusetts Lowell Michigan: Harris +3 Over Trump Marist Institute for Public Opinion Wisconsin: Harris +2 Points Against Trump Marist Institute for Public Opinion North Carolina: Trump, Harris Essentially Tied University of Massachusetts Lowell New Hampshire: Harris Slightly Ahead of Trump University of Massachusetts Lowell Kamala Harris’s Narrow Path to Victory Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic How Harris or Trump Could Win This Deadlocked Presidential Race, in 19 Maps Doug Sosnik, New York Times [unlocked] The Demographics of a Trump Victory—Or Defeat Ruy Teixeira, The Liberal Patriot A lot of state poll results show ties. So are they tied because of voters — or pollsters? Josh Clinton and John Lapinski, NBC News
Leopards Are Telling You That They Will Eat YOUR Face Paul Krugman, New York Times [unlocked] It Could Definitely Happen Here Thomas Zimmer, Democracy Americana Foreign Adversaries Target Specific Demographics in Attempt to Sway U.S. Election Dustin Volz and Vera Bergengruen, Wall Street Journal [unlocked] Rising Authoritarianism and Plutocracy Are a Dangerous Mix for Press Freedom Rachel Kleinfeld (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), Just Security Why forecast an election that’s too close to call? Andrew Gelman (Columbia), Nature
There’s much more in today’s FULL edition of Opinion Today:
PLAYLIST
‘It’s Up to the Women’
CNN Political BriefingAll Eyes on Pennsylvania
The Run-UpMarist Poll Analysis of Surveys of the Blue Wall States (MI, PA, WI)
Marist Institute for Public Opinion