Americans see immigration as top issue for Trump to tackle, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Jason Lange, Reuters Americans see immigration as the most pressing issue for President-elect Donald Trump to address, and a large majority believe he will order mass deportations of people living in the U.S. illegally, a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed Thursday found. Political Fundamentals Foreshadowed Trump Victory Megan Brenan, Jeffrey M. Jones and Lydia Saad, Gallup Gallup’s key U.S. political and economic indicators signaled that the nation’s mood strongly favored the Republicans in 2024. While Donald Trump lagged Kamala Harris in favorability and on certain important character ratings, his victory on Tuesday suggests that fundamentals of the election environment are preeminent in forecasting election outcomes.
Thoughts + resources on understanding the 2024 election Alexander Agadjanian What (I think) we know. What we don’t know.
What Swayed Trump Voters Was Bidenomics Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic Donald Trump’s decisive victory may proclaim an unpredictable new era for American government and society, but it also reaffirmed an enduring political truth: It is virtually impossible for the incumbent president’s party to hold the White House when Americans are discontented with that president’s performance. What Kamala Harris changed – and what she couldn’t Danny Hayes (George Washington U.), Good Authority Voters saw Harris as fit for office, but she couldn’t overcome their economic pessimism. Americans hate inflation more than they hate unemployment Noah Smith, Noahpinion Basically, inflation tends to make people’s purchasing power go down, because their wages can’t keep up. This makes people poorer, and people do not like to be poorer. The inflation of 2021-22 definitely made people poorer. In fact, the drop in real personal disposable income from mid-2021 to mid-2022 was more severe than the Great Recession or the 1970s inflation! Why Democrats couldn’t sell a strong economy, in 3 charts Nicole Narea, Vox Top-line indicators pointed to cooling inflation and a strong economy. What did Democrats miss?