Opinion Today
November 26, 2024
Postelection: Economic Confidence Up; Biden Ratings Down Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup After the election, Americans are more positive about the economy but less positive about Biden’s performance and the state of the nation. The shifts generally reflect sharp changes among one or the other partisan group, including Republicans becoming much more optimistic about the economy’s direction and Democrats less satisfied with the state of the nation after an election that gave Republicans control of the federal government’s executive and legislative branches.
Wide partisan divisions remain in Americans’ views of the war in Ukraine Joseph Copeland, Pew Research Center Nearly three years into the war in Ukraine, President-elect Donald Trump has been promising a swift end to the conflict when he takes office. Americans’ views about U.S. support for Ukraine have shifted little in recent months, but there continue to be wide partisan differences, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Nov. 12-17.
After the election, Americans say they would have been less likely to vote for other Democrats than Harris in a matchup with Trump Alexander Rossell Hayes, YouGov YouGov polled registered voters in the week following the election about how they voted — as well as how they would have voted if the Democratic nominee had been President Joe Biden, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, or Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. Our findings suggest that, despite Harris' loss, Americans were more likely to vote for Harris than they would have been to cast a vote for any of these alternatives.
The Role Health Care Issues Played in the 2024 Election: An Analysis of AP VoteCast KFF With most votes counted and races called, this analysis takes a deeper dive into the role that health care issues played in the 2024 race. In the first presidential election since the overturning of Roe v. Wade and amid voters’ increased anxieties about the country’s economic direction, health care issues influenced voters’ decisions in complicated but rational ways.
A deep dive into the 2024 Latino male electorate Gabriel R. Sanchez, Brookings Institution Despite making up a relatively small number of voters across key battleground states (including only 6% of eligible voters in Georgia), the majority of the blame for Democrats’ rough performance in 2024 has been directed at Latinos, specifically Latino men. In this post, I dig into the data to provide some perspective on the potential factors that led more Latino men to vote for Trump in 2024 than in the last election.
Kitchen Table Mandate: Voters Signal Clear Priorities for Democrats in Trump Era Blueprint Blueprint’s latest data paints the picture of an electorate focused intensely on kitchen-table economics, split on their perceptions of who and what each party represents, and sending clear signals about the issues they want to be prioritized under a Trump presidency. One-third of adults under 30 say they are likely to get into an argument about politics on Thanksgiving Jamie Ballard, YouGov Just a few weeks after the election, many Americans will be sitting down at the Thanksgiving table with relatives — and many are preparing for a political argument. Additional insights from new YouGov polling touch on Americans’ feelings on what they’re thankful for, their favorite pies, and their post-Thanksgiving shopping plan.
The congressional bathroom ban is the latest transgender policy battle Monica Potts and Cooper Burton, 538 Plus, polling on Trump's transition, trust in polls and Thanksgiving plans.
How Democrats Lost Their Base and Their Message Nate Cohn, New York Times [unlocked] Donald Trump’s populist pitch bumped Democrats off their traditional place in American politics
Trump Gained With Asian American Voters. Now Republicans Are Working to Keep Them. Shifra Dayak and Torrence Banks, NOTUS Trump “set the standard” for how to engage with AAPI voters. His party is figuring out how to match it, as Democrats fight back. Florida: A Swing State No Longer Justin Brown, Battleground Donald Trump won Florida by a historic 13-point margin, due to both his success at connecting with Latine voters and Democrats' failure to turnout their base. Can Wall Street Billionaires Deliver on Trump’s Blue-Collar Promise? Alan Rappeport and Ana Swanson, New York Times [unlocked] The president-elect has named wealthy financiers for key economic positions, raising questions about how much they will follow through on promises to help the working class. Americans’ many contradictions on Trump’s agenda Aaron Blake, Washington Post Mass deportation and tariffs are among the proposals on which Americans’ views contain multitudes. Why Trump keeps insisting that his policy proposals are wildly popular Philip Bump, Washington Post The president-elect has fervent in-party support, which he presents as a “mandate” — so he can rationalize the “extreme power” he seeks.
Even Republicans want a check on Trump Aaron Blake, Washington Post Three-quarters of Americans and a majority of Republicans say they want Republicans in Congress to push back on Donald Trump when they disagree. Trump promises specific tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico David J. Lynch and Niha Masih, Washington Post [unlocked] If enacted, they would violate the 2020 deal that the United States inked with Canada and Mexico during Donald Trump’s first term. Donald Trump Will Do Nothing to Bring Back Our Dying American Dream Steven Rattner, New York Times [unlocked] Large, negative movements in the finances of the young and the working class are going to make his second term much tougher sledding than his first. This policy area could defy political division — even under Trump Perry Bacon Jr., Washington Post Education is a rare issue with surprisingly bipartisan coalitions. A new agenda for a new Democratic Party Douglas E. Schoen (Schoen Cooperman Research), The Hill Democrats need to realign the party’s agenda with the majority of American voters. They can do this with an agenda focused on the economy, immigration, smaller government, empowering the working class, improving our healthcare system, and understanding that a strong U.S. that uses its power for good is a benefit for the entire globe. Donald Trump Gets Away With It David A. Graham, The Atlantic [unlocked] Jack Smith is dropping the charges against the president-elect for his assault on the fundamentals of American democracy. Donald Trump Exploits Our Great Paradox Fernand Amandi (Bendixen & Amandi), Democracy: A Journal of Ideas As the founders knew, the only way to bring about the rupture of democracy is through the very exercise of democracy. The Trump Marathon Tom Nichols, The Atlantic [unlocked] If Americans want to hold Trump accountable in a second term, they must keep their heads when he uses chaos as a strategy. Trump’s second administration set to be filled with losers Nathan L. Gonzales, Roll Call For someone who has made winning a key part of his personal, professional and political brand, Donald Trump is set to rely on a large stable of losers in his second term. The president-elect has tapped more than a dozen people who previously lost elections to join his administration next year. Top Trump Aide Accused of Asking for Money to ‘Promote’ Potential Appointees Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, New York Times [unlocked] President-elect Donald J. Trump ordered the investigation by his legal team into Boris Epshteyn, a powerful figure in the transition. Mr. Epshteyn denies the allegations. Crony Capitalism Is Coming to America Paul Krugman, New York Times [unlocked] Business success may increasingly depend on connections, not competence. Fake Jobs and Fake Facts Don Moynihan, Can We Still Govern? By Misrepresenting Constitutional Law, Muskawamy Prove Brandolini's Law Devoted Aide Who Keeps Good News Flowing Will Follow Trump to the White House Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, New York Times [unlocked] Natalie Harp, a 33-year-old former anchor on a right-wing cable show, is poised to become the gatekeeper for information to and from the president. Donald Trump Jr. emerges as a political force of his own as he helps his father launch a second term Michelle L. Price, Associated Press Trump Jr. has said he has no plans to run for office himself, but he’s been working to cultivate the next generation of his father’s movement, boosting like-minded, communication-savvy Republicans. Beyond his political activity, the father of five also serves as executive vice president at the Trump organization’s main family business, has launched a new crypto platform and recently announced he’s joining a venture capital firm that invests in conservative-focused businesses. Revenge of the COVID Contrarians Benjamin Mazer, The Atlantic [unlocked] They’re angry at the public-health establishment. Now they’re in control of it. Trump needs a Cabinet that will help him do what Reagan couldn’t Kevin D. Roberts (Heritage Action), Washington Post Populism has renewed conservatism periodically throughout American history, and it can do the same today. Trump’s mandate is for a long, controlled burn of the federal bureaucracy — to get rid of the deadwood without letting the fire spread out of control. Americans’ view of masculinity is … pretty progressive? John Sides (Vanderbilt), Good Authority Don't buy the hype about Trump and the "manosphere" in 2024.
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PLAYLIST
Exclusive: The Harris Campaign On What Went Wrong Pod Save America In this candid interview, the leaders of the Harris-Walz Campaign speak for the first time about the challenges they faced and why they made the decisions they did. Dan sits down with Jen O'Malley Dillon, David Plouffe, Quentin Fulks, and Stephanie Cutter to talk about the campaign's roadmap, their approach to nontraditional media outlets like Joe Rogan, the voters they most needed to win over, why they fell short in the end, and what Democrats should do differently next time.
Voters Lose Their Appetite For Incumbents 538 Politics In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that economic sentiment data might be even more warped by partisanship than we thought. After that, it’s another round of "Buy, Sell, Hold." Will the Senate confirm Tulsi Gabbard as director of national intelligence? Will President-elect Donald Trump pardon himself? Finally, the crew considers whether 2024 will go down as the death knell of the incumbent advantage.
More Americans feeling better about the economy, CBS News poll finds CBS News Negative views toward the economy helped drive voters to the polls for the 2024 presidential election. According to a new CBS News poll, more Americans already feel better about the economy. CBS News executive director of elections and surveys Anthony Salvanto unpacks the numbers.
Trump’s success among young men illustrates influence of online 'manosphere' PBS NewsHour This year, President-elect Trump made gains across almost every demographic since the 2020 election. But one of the most notable was among young men, who shifted roughly 15 points to the right. Laura Barrón-López examines how Trump was able to court young men online by reaching out to them in spaces far beyond mainstream media outlets.
Tamara Keith and Amy Walter on the dismissal of Trump's federal criminal cases PBS NewsHour NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter join William Brangham to discuss the latest political news, including the major federal felony cases against President-elect Trump are dropped, Trump's success with young men and the electoral gender divide.