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Opinion Weekend

July 12-13, 2025

Jul 13, 2025
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GOP warning sign in new poll: Trump’s voters don’t love his tariffs
Cheyanne M. Daniels, Politico
President Donald Trump’s disruptive trade policies are threatening to alienate a significant tranche of his own voters, a major red flag for Republicans going into 2026. A new POLITICO-Public First poll conducted last month found between a quarter and nearly half of people who voted for Trump in 2024 have doubts about various elements of his tariff policies, especially around his approach to China.
Consumer Confidence Shows Stability For The First Time This Year
Johnny Sawyer, Ipsos
The LSEG/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index for July 2025 is at 53.8. Fielded from June 20 – June 30, 2025, the Index is stable (+0.4 point) from last month. The index shows stability for the first time this year, following six consecutive months of change. However, it remains around two points lower than its reading from this time last year. These findings are based on data from a monthly 30-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global Advisor online survey platform and, in India, on its IndiaBus platform.
Economists See Lower Recession Risk and Stronger Job Growth: WSJ Survey
Paul Kiernan and Anthony DeBarros, Wall Street Journal [unlocked]
Economists expect stronger growth and job creation, lower risk of recession and cooler inflation than they did three months ago, according to The Wall Street Journal’s quarterly survey of professional forecasters. Although economists’ outlook improved slightly from the last survey, they still are relatively downbeat—most likely because of the persistence of trade uncertainty and muted growth to date.
With Trump back in office, people in Mexico view the U.S. much more negatively
Jordan Lippert, William Miner and Sofia Hernandez Ramones, Pew Research Center
With President Donald Trump back in the White House, people in Mexico have a much more negative opinion of the United States than they did during the final year of Joe Biden’s presidency, according to a Pew Research Center survey fielded earlier this year.

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