Opinion Weekend
January 24-25, 2026
Voters Are Split on Deportations but Disapprove of ICE, Poll Finds Jennifer Medina and Ruth Igielnik, New York Times [unlocked] While roughly half of voters support President Trump’s handling of the border between the United States and Mexico, a sizable majority says that ICE’s tactics have “gone too far.”
Republicans are worried about Trump’s deportation campaign, and our new poll shows why Myah Ward, Samuel Benson and Erin Doherty, Politico A slim majority of voters still support Trump’s deportation agenda, but the GOP base is splintering over tactics.
How Americans feel about 10 recent Department of Homeland Security social media posts Taylor Orth, YouGov During Donald Trump's second term, social media accounts run by the Department of Homeland Security have changed their focus and tone. In the past year, the @DHSgov account on X has made a series of posts touting deportations and encouraging Americans to defend their homeland by joining Immigration and Customs Enforcement. To understand how Americans feel about content shared by the DHS on social media, we presented survey respondents with a selection of 10 posts made to X by @DHSgov between June 2025 and January 2026.
The Emotions President Trump Evokes Christine Zhang, Caroline Soler and Ruth Igielnik, New York Times [unlocked] We asked more than 1,300 voters to describe how the president makes them feel. Here’s what they said, in their own words.
What midterm projections tell us about Trump’s central struggle Clifford Young and Bernard Mendez, Ipsos In this article, we explore five different midterm election projections, each based on different variables: • Historic gains/losses by the incumbent party • Off-year election results in New Jersey and Virginia • Generic ballot polling • A Monte Carlo election projection • Redistricting effects
One year of Donald Trump: A divided America grades the president’s performance Angus Reid Institute The impacts of U.S. President Donald Trump’s first year of his current term appear to be creating serious fissures between MAGA and non-MAGA Republican voters. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds those who align themselves with the MAGA movement and those who don’t holding widely divergent on views of Trump and his exploits.
Consumer Sentiment: Final Results for January 2026 Joanne Hsu, University of Michigan Consumer sentiment lifted about 3.5 index points this month, with minor gains seen across all index components. While the overall improvement was small, it was broad based, seen across the income distribution, educational attainment, older and younger consumers, and Republicans and Democrats alike.
Current versus Pre-Pandemic Long-Run Inflation Expectations Joanne Hsu, University of Michigan Long-run expectations softened over the last two months of 2025, then edged up in January 2026. This month’s reading is well below peaks in monthly readings from June 2022 and April 2025, but above 2024 readings as well as readings from 2020 and earlier. Expectations exhibit substantial uncertainty, though less than in mid-2025.
