Opinion Today: Topline
Selected links from the May 19, 2026, edition of Opinion Today
G.O.P. Supporters Back Trump, but a Third Seek a New Direction for the Party Patricia Mazzei, Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker, The New York Times [unlocked] While President Trump remains overwhelmingly popular within the Republican coalition, a New York Times/Siena poll found, a sizable share wants the party’s next nominee to take a different approach.
Poll: Trump’s endorsement could hurt battleground Republicans Jessica Piper, Politico
Year-Over-Year Growth in Monthly Spending Ticks Down; Large Purchases Mixed Federal Reserve Bank of New York
We tested one of the media's favorite economic theories Lakshya Jain, The Argument
Texas: 2026 Races Are Closer Than You Think Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University
Florida: Moody, Donalds Leading Potential Democratic Opponents in Ballot Test Florida Chamber of Commerce Arizona: Biggs Nears Majority as Hobbs Holds Early Edge Noble Predictive Insights
A Simple Model for Forecasting the Impact of Mid-Cycle Redistricting on the 2026 House Elections Alan I. Abramowitz (Emory University), Sabato’s Crystal Ball
How Redistricting Is Making the Midterms Less Competitive Ashley Wu, The New York Times [unlocked] What Americans think about election policy and how the 2026 elections will go Nathaniel Rakich, Votebeat The Great Gen Z Dividing Line Faith Hill, The Atlantic [unlocked] The anti-war crack in MAGA's youth base Ben Johansen, Politico Why Everything Feels More Expensive Roland Fryer (Harvard), The Wall Street Journal [unlocked] The paradox at the heart of American meat consumption Kenny Torrella, Vox [unlocked] See How Trump’s Accounts Were Busy Trading Big Tech Stocks Jared Mitovich and Kara Dapena, The Wall Street Journal [unlocked]
Stop calling it ‘a break from norms.’ Call it Trump corruption. Mark Jacob, Stop the Presses Measuring and incorporating resentment origins of non-response bias in polling data John Curiel (YouGov), APSA Preprints
There’s much more in today’s FULL edition of Opinion Today:
PLAYLIST
Trump Hits A New Low
GD POLITICSNew poll shows Americans are feeling the costs of Iran war as Trump escalates threats again
CBS News'How low can you go?': Enten on key Trump demos' flaring financial unease
CNNTamara Keith and Amy Walter on Trump's power in pushing out 'disloyal' Republicans
PBS News Hour